CanonPriceWatch’s Black Friday and Cyber Week Predictions for 2015

Black Friday is less than two weeks away! As usual, we’ll have around-the-clock coverage of Thanksgiving week + Cyber week. Here are a few predictions and guesses on deals we’ll see during the two biggest shopping weeks of the year, based on the pattern of Canon deals seen over the last few years.

As usual, be sure to use our notification system to get notified — you can choose to get e-mailed every time we make a post on our site (which is the most popular option), or e-mailed whenever an specific item drops below a price threshold that you specify.

Authorized Dealers

The current lens instant rebate suspiciously ends on November 21st, at the beginning of Thanksgiving week. We’re expecting the lens rebate to be renewed, with likely a slight increase in rebate to a few of the most popular lenses (think 70-200 II and 24-70 II). As the street prices for those lenses are extremely low already, this could result in some of the lowest street prices seen yet. We may also be coming up to the first rebate on the 100-400 II or 11-24L, but those lenses have still been selling well (100-400 II street price: $1999) and Canon may not see a reason to discount them yet.

We think there’s only a small chance of a price reduction for the EOS 5D Mark III and the 6D, but we may see them bundled with free extras (just like last year’s 6D + PRO-10 at B&H deal). We should see a good discount on the 7D Mark II, as the street price is still very high compared to bundle deals, grey market or refurbished prices. The 5Ds/5DsR is another candidate for a good price drop, but Canon may be hesitant, given the $300 price drop less than one month ago.

Unauthorized Dealers

Unauthorized dealers via eBay are a great way to get a holiday good deal (if you’re okay with not having a guaranteed Canon USA warranty.) We’re expecting to see import/grey market 5D Mark III at $1850, EOS 6D at $999, and 7D Mark II at $1050. We’re also expecting to see the grey market 5Ds/5DsR drop a tiny bit more (perhaps into the $2550/$2850 range.) We wrote this FAQ last year regarding eBay purchases, if you’d like more background info on buying cameras via eBay.

Refurbished from Canon Direct

Sadly, the Black Friday sale for Canon USA refurbished items (which come with a 1-year Canon USA warranty) likely already happened with the 15%-off sale and resulting 27%-off Price Mistake. That being said, you could likely expect to see 15% or perhaps even 20% savings during Thanksgiving Week or Cyber Week from the Canon Direct Store. The big challenge is inventory: it’s difficult to catch the item you want in-stock. Our refurbished stock tracker and notification system can really help here.

Everything Else

Thanksgiving week and Cyber week are usually the best time to get great deals on everything else photography related: memory cards, software, bags, etc. This year should be no exception, we’ll track all the deals here too!



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PowerShot G7X, G16, and S120 Bundles with PIXMA PRO-100


Three great PowerShot bundles with the PIXMA PRO-100:

Adorama has a bundle of the PowerShot G7 X and PIXMA PRO-100 for $499.00, after a $350 mail-in rebate. Click here to check out the deal at Adorama. Compare with $599 regular price.

BuyDig has a bundle of the PowerShot G16, PIXMA PRO-100 and a free bag for $299.99, after a $350 mail-in rebate, and after using coupon code “VISAVET25” in-cart. Click here to check out the deal at BuyDig. Compare with $399 regular price.

Adorama has a bundle of the PowerShot S120 and PIXMA PRO-100 for $249.00, after a $350 mail-in rebate. Click here to check out the deal at Adorama. Compare with $349 regular price.



Hot: 200 Sheets 8.5″x11″ Plus Glossy II for $6.99, Free Shipping


UPDATE: They just disabled one of the coupon codes. Price is now $6.99. Still a great deal.

A hot deal from the Canon Direct Store: they have Canon Photo Paper Plus Glossy II 8.5″x11″ (10 Packs, 200 Sheets) for $6.99, you need to apply coupon codes P151101 and P151001 in-cart to see this discounted price.

Free shipping, with no minimum purchase. Only 3.5 cents per full page. Stock up!



Street Prices Back in Stock: 100-400L II, 35L II, 200-400L, 11-24L


Some of our extremely popular street prices are back in-stock. There is limited stock of these popular items, they are brand new from a Canon authorized dealer with a 1-year Canon USA warranty. You can read more about our street price program or see all our street prices.



SL1 + 18-55 STM + 75-300 + PIXMA PRO-100 for $399 AR, Adorama


Adorama has a stellar bundle of the EOS Rebel SL1 with 18-55mm STM and 75-300mm Kit, PIXMA PRO-100, 32GB Platinum II 200x SDHC, free photo paper, bag, 32 GB SD card, and Corel software, for $399.99, after a $350 mail-in rebate.

Click here to check out the deal at Adorama. If you’re not interested in the printer or 75-300mm lens, you can also consider the refurbished EOS Rebel SL1 + 18-55 STM for $299 at the Canon Direct Store.



Adorama Clearout: EF 100-400mm (Old Version) for $1199, Brand New


Adorama has a clear-out special on the Canon EF 100-400mm f/4.5-5.6L IS USM (old version) — it’s now $1199.95. You also get free expedited shipping and a 2% reward. This is the lowest price we’ve seen yet for this lens, brand new from an authorized dealer.

Our street price on the EF 100-400mm f/4.5-5.6L IS II (new version) is $1999, from an authorized Canon USA dealer.



Still Live: Speedlite 600EX-RT for $399, Brand New Street Price


We still have a great street price deal on the Canon Speedlite 600EX-RT. It’s only $399.00, brand new from a Canon authorized dealer, with a 1-year Canon USA warranty and free shipping. This is the lowest price we’ve seen yet for this popular Speedlite from an authorized Canon dealer. Compare with a MAP price of $469 at other authorized Canon dealers.



B&H DealZone: Bower (a.k.a. Rokinon) 8mm f/3.5 Fisheye for $159


Today’s B&H Photo Video DealZone (one-day deal) is the Bower 8mm f/3.5 Fisheye for Canon for $159.95. This is the lowest price we’ve seen yet for this manual-focus lens. (This lens may be more commonly known as the Rokinon or Samyang 8mm — Bower is yet another one of their brand names.)

Please note this is NOT the “HD” version of the lens. Thus, the lens hood is not detachable, and you will get an obstructed field of view on a full-frame camera. We recommend this lens only for crop-bodies (although it’s possible to modify your lens to work with a full-frame camera.) Check out this flickr group for sample photos with this lens. Nikon and Sony mounts also available at this price.



Canon Direct: 7D Mark II Refurbished $999, with 18-135 STM $1249


The Canon Direct Store has a two-day sale on the refurbished EOS 7D Mark II. It’s now $999, after a $440 instant savings. The EOS 7D Mark II with 18-135mm STM Kit is now $1249. Free shipping, and it comes with a 1-year Canon USA warranty and 14-day return period.

This is a reasonable deal — not as great as the short-lived triple-stack madness, but considering the body retails for $1349 authorized dealer street price, $1249 AR with printer bundle, or $1099 (expired) grey market, this is still an attractive price for the body only and an excellent price with the 18-135 STM kit lens.

See all other deals from Canon USA — they expire Tuesday, November 3rd.