CanonPriceWatch’s Black Friday and Cyber Week Predictions for 2015

Black Friday is less than two weeks away! As usual, we’ll have around-the-clock coverage of Thanksgiving week + Cyber week. Here are a few predictions and guesses on deals we’ll see during the two biggest shopping weeks of the year, based on the pattern of Canon deals seen over the last few years.

As usual, be sure to use our notification system to get notified — you can choose to get e-mailed every time we make a post on our site (which is the most popular option), or e-mailed whenever an specific item drops below a price threshold that you specify.

Authorized Dealers

The current lens instant rebate suspiciously ends on November 21st, at the beginning of Thanksgiving week. We’re expecting the lens rebate to be renewed, with likely a slight increase in rebate to a few of the most popular lenses (think 70-200 II and 24-70 II). As the street prices for those lenses are extremely low already, this could result in some of the lowest street prices seen yet. We may also be coming up to the first rebate on the 100-400 II or 11-24L, but those lenses have still been selling well (100-400 II street price: $1999) and Canon may not see a reason to discount them yet.

We think there’s only a small chance of a price reduction for the EOS 5D Mark III and the 6D, but we may see them bundled with free extras (just like last year’s 6D + PRO-10 at B&H deal). We should see a good discount on the 7D Mark II, as the street price is still very high compared to bundle deals, grey market or refurbished prices. The 5Ds/5DsR is another candidate for a good price drop, but Canon may be hesitant, given the $300 price drop less than one month ago.

Unauthorized Dealers

Unauthorized dealers via eBay are a great way to get a holiday good deal (if you’re okay with not having a guaranteed Canon USA warranty.) We’re expecting to see import/grey market 5D Mark III at $1850, EOS 6D at $999, and 7D Mark II at $1050. We’re also expecting to see the grey market 5Ds/5DsR drop a tiny bit more (perhaps into the $2550/$2850 range.) We wrote this FAQ last year regarding eBay purchases, if you’d like more background info on buying cameras via eBay.

Refurbished from Canon Direct

Sadly, the Black Friday sale for Canon USA refurbished items (which come with a 1-year Canon USA warranty) likely already happened with the 15%-off sale and resulting 27%-off Price Mistake. That being said, you could likely expect to see 15% or perhaps even 20% savings during Thanksgiving Week or Cyber Week from the Canon Direct Store. The big challenge is inventory: it’s difficult to catch the item you want in-stock. Our refurbished stock tracker and notification system can really help here.

Everything Else

Thanksgiving week and Cyber week are usually the best time to get great deals on everything else photography related: memory cards, software, bags, etc. This year should be no exception, we’ll track all the deals here too!

If you purchase something through a link on our site, we may get a small share of the sale (at no cost to you). Please read our disclosure for more info.

10 comments on “CanonPriceWatch’s Black Friday and Cyber Week Predictions for 2015

  1. murali
    November 15, 2015 at 12:02 pm EDT

    waiting for deal on refurbished canon 6d …if the 15- 20% comes i’ll take…

  2. Bjork
    November 15, 2015 at 7:57 pm EDT

    I really hope the 5D MK3 hits that 1850 price point..

  3. Tony
    November 15, 2015 at 9:06 pm EDT

    waiting for 30% off refurbished canon 6d. I didn’t pull the trigger last time at 27% off.

  4. November 16, 2015 at 10:13 am EDT

    Evan Trevor Nikesh Tyler keep an eye out for the goods!

  5. Chloe
    November 16, 2015 at 10:08 am EDT

    For the 6D refurbished. . .currently, it’s $999 but that price deal expires 11/21. I wonder if they will raise the price after that when they (possibly) offer 15-20% off, so it wouldn’t be much better of a deal?

    1. CanonPriceWatch
      November 17, 2015 at 2:25 am EDT

      That is exactly what they’ll do. The current price of $999 is already heavily discounted. That discount will expire prior to any percent off sales.

      1. Jared
        November 17, 2015 at 4:08 pm EDT

        Really hoping to pick up at 7d II this black friday. The refurbished price is great at $999.99 so I’m wondering what type of discount you expect on the day of sales. I have to admit the body + pixma 100 is tempting ( especially given that its only 250 more than the refub alone. Thoughts?

  6. November 16, 2015 at 11:47 pm EDT

    The much speculated and anticipated 5D Mark4 is coming out next year and I anticipate Canon’s impetus to reduce inventory. More so due to this year’s sluggish economy.

  7. Ben
    November 18, 2015 at 2:44 pm EDT

    What about L lenses? Any deals on them coming for black friday?

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