A few weeks ago, we published Part 1 of our holiday pricing predictions — we wrote down some predictions on authorized dealer pricing over the November/December holiday season. This post takes a look at how accurate we were, and updates some of the predictions to include what we think might be coming in the next and subsequent Canon rebate.

I know many readers are waiting for “Part 2” of our Holiday Predictions series, where we’ll predict some of the unauthorized dealer (eBay) prices for Black Friday and the following Cyber Week. This isn’t it, but don’t worry, that’s coming soon…

In Part 1 we predicted:

• Prediction #1: MAP is here to stay.
• Prediction #2: Small drop in lens prices (because of increased rebates).
• Prediction #3: Steady full-frame body price… for now (except for 1D-X)
• Prediction #4: Street prices will fluctuate directly with Canon rebates.

Well, how did we do with these predictions thus far, and do we have anything to change?

Read on to find out.

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If you are in the New York City area, we’re told that Adorama will be having a Secret Late Night Black Wednesday Sale. It’s in-store only at their 42 W 18th Street location, today only, and starts at 4 PM. They are extending hours today to 10 PM due to this sale. You’ll need this special in-store coupon.

The prices in this sale are “too drastic to print”, but we are told that our readers will not be disappointed! (Any readers who choose to check out the sale, please report on your findings!) Don’t forget to bring your coupon.

The yet-to-be-announced EF 100-400mm f/4.5-5.6L IS II has been thoroughly leaked by all the Canon rumor sites. We’re expecting it to be officially announced and available for pre-order within 24-36 hours.

The lens is expected to carry a hefty $2199 USD introductory price tag, representing a 65% premium over our street price of $1329.99 AR for the Mark I version of the lens. This is the typical price increase seen for recent refreshes (namely, the 70-200 II, and 24-70 II). We’re yet to see if the performance from this long-awaited refresh justifies the higher price.

As usual, you can set a pre-order notification to be e-mailed immediately when the lens is available for pre-order, or you can marvel at our new price listing page for the lens (which is empty, for now).