{"id":6029,"date":"2014-11-12T16:17:43","date_gmt":"2014-11-12T21:17:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.canonpricewatch.com\/blog\/?p=6029"},"modified":"2014-11-12T16:27:49","modified_gmt":"2014-11-12T21:27:49","slug":"canonpricewatchs-holiday-predictions-follow-up-to-part-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cpricewatch.com\/blog\/2014\/11\/canonpricewatchs-holiday-predictions-follow-up-to-part-1\/","title":{"rendered":"CanonPriceWatch&#8217;s Holiday Predictions, Follow Up to Part 1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A few weeks ago, we published <a href=\"http:\/\/www.canonpricewatch.com\/blog\/2014\/10\/canonpricewatchs-holiday-predictions-part-1-authorized-dealers\/\">Part 1 of our holiday pricing predictions<\/a> &#8212; we wrote down some predictions on authorized dealer pricing over the November\/December holiday season. This post takes a look at how accurate we were, and updates some of the predictions to include what we think might be coming in the next and subsequent Canon rebate.<\/p>\n<p>I know many readers are waiting for &#8220;Part 2&#8221; of our Holiday Predictions series, where we&#8217;ll predict some of the unauthorized dealer (eBay) prices for Black Friday and the following Cyber Week. This isn&#8217;t it, but don&#8217;t worry, that&#8217;s coming soon&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>In <a href=\"http:\/\/www.canonpricewatch.com\/blog\/2014\/10\/canonpricewatchs-holiday-predictions-part-1-authorized-dealers\/\">Part 1<\/a> we predicted:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><b>Prediction #1: MAP is here to stay.<\/b>\n<li><b>Prediction #2: Small drop in lens prices (because of increased rebates).<\/b>\n<li><b>Prediction #3: Steady full-frame body price&#8230; for now (except for 1D-X)<\/b>\n<li><b>Prediction #4: Street prices will fluctuate directly with Canon rebates.<\/b><\/ul>\n<p>Well, how did we do with these predictions thus far, and do we have anything to change?<\/p>\n<p>Read on to find out.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><b>Result #1: MAP hasn&#8217;t been broken yet.<\/b>\n<p>We still haven&#8217;t seen any easing up of Canon&#8217;s Minimum Advertised Price policy over the last few weeks, nor do we expect to see an easing of this strict policy any time soon. Like it or not, the MAP is here to stay. We are asked many times: no, we do not expect to see lower (pre-rebate) advertised prices at authorized dealers on Thanksgiving Week or the following Cyber Week. We expect possibly some rebate changes (see below).<\/p>\n<li><b>Result #2: We already saw a small increased rebate on lenses!<\/b>\n<p>Shortly after our prediction post we saw <a href=\"http:\/\/www.canonpricewatch.com\/blog\/2014\/10\/new-and-increased-canon-mail-in-rebates-tomorrow-800-off-1dx\/\">an increase in lens rebates<\/a> &#8212; both the dollar amounts and the number of lenses on rebate were increased. On average, lens rebates were increased about $50. We also saw a new rebate on the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.canonpricewatch.com\/product\/05439\/Canon-EF-16-35mm-f4L-IS-USM-price.html\">new 16-35mm f\/4L IS<\/a> (street price of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.canonpricewatch.com\/product\/05439\/Canon-EF-16-35mm-f4L-IS-USM-price.html?streetprice\">$1049 AR<\/a>), as we had hoped!<\/p>\n<p>If you&#8217;re hoping for yet another rebate increase, we think that&#8217;s unlikely, as between the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.canonpricewatch.com\/blog\/2014\/08\/breaking-news-canon-price-drop-tomorrow-on-26-lenses\/\">recent price drop<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.canonpricewatch.com\/blog\/2014\/10\/new-and-increased-canon-mail-in-rebates-tomorrow-800-off-1dx\/\">the current rebates<\/a>, the discount provided by Canon matches or exceeds last year&#8217;s amount. We think lens rebate values will stay steady in the upcoming rebates (but this is just our prediction).<\/p>\n<li><b>Result #3: Body rebates stayed steady, a huge 1D-X rebate was introduced.<\/b>\n<p>At the time, we didn&#8217;t expect any major short-term changes in the $200 mail-in rebate on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.canonpricewatch.com\/product\/03868\/Canon-EOS-5D-Mark-III-price.html\">5D Mark III<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.canonpricewatch.com\/product\/04039\/Canon-EOS-6D-price.html\">EOS 6D<\/a>, and true to our prediction Canon renewed the rebate at the same value for another month. But since then we&#8217;ve seen some competitive pressure with Nikon cutting full-frame pricing by $100. I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised if Canon matches this in the next rebate.<\/p>\n<p>We also saw a huge $800 rebate on the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.canonpricewatch.com\/product\/03792\/Canon-EOS-1D-X-price.html\">EOS-1D X<\/a>, which matches our prediction of an adjustment of price on the 1D X. We have a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.canonpricewatch.com\/product\/03792\/Canon-EOS-1D-X-price.html?streetprice\">street price of $5299 AR<\/a>, which is much more competitive with the import models we <a href=\"http:\/\/www.canonpricewatch.com\/blog\/2014\/11\/eos-1d-x-for-4799-import-ebay-or-5299-ar-street-price\/\">occasionally see on eBay for $4799.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>We also had predicted a street price on the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.canonpricewatch.com\/product\/05537\/Canon-EOS-7D-Mark-II-price.html\">EOS 7D Mark II<\/a>. It hasn&#8217;t happened yet, but we&#8217;re still hopeful we&#8217;ll see this before the end of the November.<\/p>\n<li><b>Result #4: Street prices are still fluctuating directly with Canon rebates.<\/b>\n<p>Our <a href=\"http:\/\/www.canonpricewatch.com\/street-prices\/\">street prices<\/a> are from very reputable authorized Canon dealers, so you are eligible for all Canon mail-in rebates. Our after-rebate street prices will drop <b>if<\/b> the mail-in rebates increase. We don\u2019t expect the pre-rebate price (the price that you pay to the store) to change significantly, over the coming months. Any price changes from now until the end of the year are likely directly resulting from Canon mail-in rebates or instant rebates.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A few weeks ago, we published Part 1 of our holiday pricing predictions &#8212; we wrote down some predictions on authorized dealer pricing over the November\/December holiday season. This post takes a look at how accurate we were, and updates some of the predictions to include what we think might be coming in the next [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2726,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6029","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cpricewatch.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6029","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cpricewatch.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cpricewatch.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cpricewatch.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cpricewatch.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6029"}],"version-history":[{"count":28,"href":"https:\/\/www.cpricewatch.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6029\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6091,"href":"https:\/\/www.cpricewatch.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6029\/revisions\/6091"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cpricewatch.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2726"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cpricewatch.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6029"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cpricewatch.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6029"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cpricewatch.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6029"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}